The competitive landscape of Canada’s Express Entry system is showing signs of easing, as the number of high-scoring candidates continues to fall for the second consecutive month. According to the latest data reviewed by Maple News, a total of 1,684 top-tier profiles have exited the Express Entry pool between January 19 and February 2.
The largest decline occurred in the 501–600 Comprehensive Ranking System (CRS) score range, which dropped by 1,430 profiles. An additional 254 candidates exited from the even higher 601–1200 score range. Altogether, this represents a 30% decrease among top-scoring applicants, suggesting diminishing competition at the upper end of the pool.
Despite this drop in high scores, the overall size of the pool grew by 1,800 profiles during the same period, indicating an influx of new candidates—most of whom fall below a 500 CRS score. The increased volume at the mid- and lower-end score tiers may create new opportunities for these applicants, especially as the top-heavy composition of the pool begins to balance out.
Recent distribution data highlights that scores in the 471–490 and 491–500 ranges have seen the biggest growth in candidate numbers. Candidates in these ranges are now more strategically positioned as competition for Invitations to Apply (ITAs) softens at the top due to fewer contenders. This trend is particularly relevant given that Express Entry draws typically invite the highest-scoring candidates first, including those from specific categories under Canada’s targeted draws.
Notably, the 501–600 score band saw an 8.8% decline, while the 601–1200 group fell dramatically by 37.5%. These figures suggest not just a decrease in highly ranked candidates, but also a potential easing of cut-off scores in forthcoming rounds—depending on the volume and nature of draws held.
Maple News observes that this recalibration of the Express Entry pool could signal a pivotal moment for mid-range candidates. With fewer ultra-high scores in the mix, individuals with scores in the 470s to low 500s might now stand a stronger chance of receiving an invitation in upcoming draws. However, final outcomes will also depend on Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada (IRCC)’s policies and targeting strategies going forward.
As the pool diversifies and shifts, potential immigrants are encouraged to monitor draw results closely and consider ways to strengthen their profiles—such as improving language scores, gaining Canadian work experience, or qualifying under category-based selection streams.